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Revision 25a68ae3

Added by Benoit Parmentier about 12 years ago

  • ID 25a68ae32a5fdc3ee3af1594e88f4743d617db37

Transform aspect in Eastness and Northness variables in the GAM.

View differences:

climate/research/oregon/interpolation/Linear_reg.R
16 16
path<-"C:/Data/Benoit/NCEAS/window_Oregon_data"
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setwd(path)
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#infile2<-"dates_interpolation_03012012.txt"  # list of 10 dates for the regression
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infile2<-"dates_interpolation_03032012.txt"
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infile2<-"dates_interpolation_03052012.txt"
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prop<-0.3                                                                            #Proportion of testing retained for validation   
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out_prefix<-"_03042012_r1"
22 22

  
......
24 24

  
25 25
###Reading the station data and setting up for models' comparison
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ghcn<-read.csv(paste(path,"/",infile1, sep=""), header=TRUE)                            #The "paste" function concatenates the path and file name in common string. 
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ghcn = transform(ghcn,Northness = cos(ASPECT)) #Adding a variable to the dataframe
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ghcn = transform(ghcn,Eastness = sin(ASPECT))  #adding variable to the dataframe.
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27 30
ghcn = transform(ghcn,Northness_w = sin(slope)*cos(ASPECT)) #Adding a variable to the dataframe
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ghcn = transform(ghcn,Eastness_w = sin(slope)*sin(ASPECT))  #adding variable to the dataframe.
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set.seed(100)
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dates <-readLines(paste(path,"/",infile2, sep=""))
31 34

  
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results <- matrix(1,length(dates),10)            #This is a matrix containing the diagnostic measures from the GAM models.
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results <- matrix(1,length(dates),14)            #This is a matrix containing the diagnostic measures from the GAM models.
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33 37
ghcn.subsets <-lapply(dates, function(d) subset(ghcn, date==d)) #this creates a list of 10 subsets data
34 38
#note that compare to the previous version date_ column was changed to date
35 39

  
......
51 55
  ####Regression part 2: GAM models
52 56

  
53 57
  GAM_ANUSPLIN1<-gam(tmax~ s(lat) + s (lon) + s (ELEV_SRTM), data=data_s)
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  GAM_PRISM1<-gam(tmax~ s(lat) + s (lon) + s (ELEV_SRTM) + s (ASPECT)+ s(DISTOC), data=data_s)
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  GAM_PRISM1<-gam(tmax~ s(lat) + s (lon) + s (ELEV_SRTM) +  s (Northness)+ s (Eastness) + s(DISTOC), data=data_s)
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  GAM_PRISM2<-gam(tmax~ s(lat) + s (lon) + s (ELEV_SRTM) + s (Northness_w)+ s (Eastness_w) + s(DISTOC), data=data_s)
56 60
  
57 61
  
......
60 64
  results[i,1]<- dates[i]  #storing the interpolation dates in the first column
61 65
  results[i,2]<- ns        #number of stations used in the training stage
62 66
  
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  results[i,5]<- AIC (GAM_ANUSPLIN1)
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  results[i,6]<- AIC (GAM_PRISM1)
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  GCVA1<-GAM_ANUSPLIN1$gcv.ubre
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  results[i,7]<- GCVA1
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  GCVP1<-GAM_PRISM1$gcv.ubre
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  results[i,8]<- GCVP1
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  results[i,6]<- AIC (GAM_ANUSPLIN1)
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  results[i,7]<- AIC (GAM_PRISM1)
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  results[i,8]<- AIC (GAM_PRISM2)
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  results[i,9]<- GAM_ANUSPLIN1$gcv.ubre
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  results[i,10]<- GAM_PRISM1$gcv.ubre
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  results[i,11]<- GAM_PRISM2$gcv.ubre
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  results[i,9]<-GAM_ANUSPLIN1$deviance
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  results[i,10]<-GAM_PRISM1$deviance
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  results[i,12]<-GAM_ANUSPLIN1$deviance
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  results[i,13]<-GAM_PRISM1$deviance
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  results[i,14]<-GAM_PRISM2$deviance
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  #####VALIDATION: Prediction checking the results using the testing data########
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  y_pgANUSPLIN1<- predict(GAM_ANUSPLIN1, newdata=data_v, se.fit = TRUE) #Using the coeff to predict new values.
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  y_pgPRISM1<- predict(GAM_PRISM1, newdata=data_v, se.fit = TRUE)            
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  y_pgPRISM2<- predict(GAM_PRISM2, newdata=data_v, se.fit = TRUE) 
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  res_ypgA1<- data_v$tmax - y_pgANUSPLIN1$fit #Residuals for GMA model that resembles the ANUSPLIN interpolation
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  res_ypgP1<- data_v$tmax - y_pgPRISM1$fit   #Residuals for GAM model that resembles the PRISM interpolation                               
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  res_ypgP2<- data_v$tmax - y_pgPRISM2$fit  
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81 89
  RMSE_ypgA1 <- sqrt(sum(res_ypgA1^2)/nv)          
82 90
  RMSE_ypgP1 <- sqrt(sum(res_ypgP1^2)/nv)
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  RMSE_ypgP2 <- sqrt(sum(res_ypgP2^2)/nv)
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84 93
  results[i,3]<-RMSE_ypgA1
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  results[i,4]<-RMSE_ypgP1
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  results[i,5]<-RMSE_ypgP2
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  data_name<-paste("ghcn_v_",dates[[i]],sep="")
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  assign(data_name,data_v)
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  #ghcn_v<-ls(pattern="ghcn_v_")
86 100
  
87 101
  # end of the for loop #1
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  }
......
95 109
# Now turn it into a data.frame...
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97 111
results_table<-as.data.frame(results_num)
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colnames(results_table)<-c("dates","ns","RMSE_A1", "RMSE_P1", "AIC_A1", "AIC_P1", "GCV_A1", "GCV_P1", "Deviance_A1", "Deviance_P1")
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colnames(results_table)<-c("dates","ns","RMSE_A1", "RMSE_P1","RMSE_P2", "AIC_A1", "AIC_P1", "AIC_P2", "GCV_A1", "GCV_P1", "GCV_P2", "Deviance_A1", "Deviance_P1", "Deviance_P2")
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win.graph()
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barplot(results_table$RMSE_A1,main="RMSE for the A1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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barplot(results_table$RMSE_A1/10,main="RMSE for the A1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_ANUSPLIN1_RMSE",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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win.graph()
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barplot(results_table$RMSE_P1,main="RMSE for the P1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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barplot(results_table$RMSE_P1/10,main="RMSE for the P1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp ( deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_PRISM1_RMSE",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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win.graph()
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barplot(results_table$RMSE_P2/10,main="RMSE for the P2 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp ( deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_PRISM1_RMSE",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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win.graph()
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barplot(results_table$AIC_P1,main="AIC for the P1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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barplot(results_table$AIC_A1,main="AIC for the A1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp ( deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_PRISM1_RMSE",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
109 126
win.graph()
110
barplot(results_table$AIC_A1,main="AIC for the A1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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barplot(results_table$AIC_P1/10,main="AIC for the P1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp ( deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_PRISM1_RMSE",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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win.graph()
113
barplot(results_table$Deviance_A1,main="Deviance for the A1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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barplot(results_table$AIC_P2/10,main="AIC for the P2 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_PRISM1_RMSE",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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win.graph()
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barplot(results_table$Deviance_A1/10,main="Deviance for the A1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_ANUSPLIN1_Deviance",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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win.graph()
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barplot(results_table$Deviance_P1,main="Deviance for the P1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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barplot(results_table$Deviance_P1/10,main="Deviance for the P1 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_PRISM1_Deviance",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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win.graph()
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barplot(results_table$Deviance_P2/10,main="Deviance for the P2 models",names.arg=results_table$dates,ylab="Temp (0.1 X deg. C)",xlab="interolated date")
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savePlot(paste("GAM_PRISM2_Deviance",out_prefix,".emf", sep=""), type="emf")
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118 142
write.csv(results_table, file= paste(path,"/","results_GAM_Assessment",out_prefix,".txt",sep=""))
119 143

  
120 144

  
......
142 166
# #vis.gam(GAM_ANUSPLIN1, view=c("lat","ELEV_SRTM", theta=100,phi=200))
143 167
# savePlot("GAM_ANUSPLIN1_prediction2.emf", type="emf")
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#
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# #results_val <-c(res_yplA1,res_ypgA1,res_yplP1,res_ypgP1)
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# results_val<-data.frame(res_yplA1=res_yplA1,res_ypgA1=res_ypgA1,res_yplP1=res_yplP1,res_ypgP1=res_ypgP1)
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# nv<- nrow(ghcn1507_v)
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#                    
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# mod_name<-c("yplA1","ypgA1","yplP1","ypgP1")
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# mod_type<-c("lm_ANUSPLIN1","GAM_ANUSPLIN1","lm_PRISM1","GAM_PRISM1")
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# 
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# RMSE_all<-c(RMSE_yplA1,RMSE_ypgA1,RMSE_yplP1,RMSE_ypgP1)
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# AIC_all<-AIC(lm_ANUSPLIN1,GAM_ANUSPLIN1,lm_PRISM1,GAM_PRISM1)
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# GCV_all<-c(0,GCVA1,0,GCVP1)     #This places the GCV values for each model in a vector
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# Deviance_all<-c(0,DevianceA1,0,DevianceP1)
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# 
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# #results<-data.frame(model=mod_name,RMSE=RMSE_all,df=AIC_all$df,AIC=AIC_all$AIC)
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# #results_val<-data.frame(model=mod_name,RMSE=RMSE_all,df=AIC_all$df,AIC=AIC_all$AIC)  
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# results<-data.frame(model=mod_name,RMSE=RMSE_all,df=AIC_all$df,AIC=AIC_all$AIC, GCV=GCV_all,Deviance=Deviance_all)
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# 
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# #Add deviance
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# 
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# barplot(results$RMSE,main="RMSE for the models",names.arg=c("yplA1","ypgA1","yplP1","ypgP1"),ylab="Temp (deg. C)")                  
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# barplot(results$AIC,main="AIC for the models",names.arg=c("yplA1","ypgA1","yplP1","ypgP1"),ylab="AIC")
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# #dump("results", file= paste(path,"/","results_reg1507.txt",sep=""))
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# write.csv(results, file= paste(path,"/","results_reg1507_Assessment.txt",sep=""))
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# #write.csv(results_val, file= paste(path,"/","results_reg1507_val.txt",sep=""))
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#                 
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